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| 10/28/2011 |
How women defused population bomb This week the world will reach 7 billion people. Understandably that raises concern about a soaring world population. But there is a good news story from the demographic data that is not often told. We -- or rather the poor women of the world -- are defusing the population bomb. Women today are having half as many children as their mothers and grandmothers. The global average is now down to 2.5 children per woman, and it continues to fall. This is not just a rich-world phenomenon. Much of Asia now has fertility rates below two, from Japan and Korea to China, with its one-child policy, through Taiwan, Vietnam, Burma, Singapore and much of southern India and parts of the Middle East. Behind the veil, the women of Iran have cut their fertility from eight to less than two in a generation. According to Stephen Pacala, the director of the Princeton Environmental Institute, the world's richest half billion people -- that's about 7 % of the global population -- are responsible for half the world's carbon dioxide emissions, the primary cause of man-made climate change. Meanwhile the poorest 50 % of the world are responsible for just 7 % of emissions. So there is no way halting population growth in the poor world today would have more than a very marginal effect on climate change. It is the world's consumption patterns we need to fix, not its reproductive habits. Every time we talk about too many babies in Africa or India, we are denying this fact. (CNN) | |||
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| 6/11/2011 |
A Real Debate About Drug Policy: George P. Shultz and Paul A. Volcker on why the 'war on drugs' has failed--and what to do next "The global war on drugs has failed, with devastating consequences for individuals and societies around the world." That is the opening sentence of a report issued last week by the Global Commission on Drug Policy. Both of us have signed on to this report. Why? We believe that drug addiction is harmful to individuals, impairs health and has adverse societal effects. So we want an effective program to deal with this problem. The question is: What is the best way to go about it? For 40 years now, our nation's approach has been to criminalize the entire process of producing, transporting, selling and using drugs, with the exception of tobacco and alcohol. Our judgment, shared by other members of the commission, is that this approach has not worked, just as our national experiment with the prohibition of alcohol failed. Drugs are still readily available, and crime rates remain high. But drug use in the U.S. is no lower than, and sometimes surpasses, drug use in countries with very different approaches to the problem. (Wall Street Journal) | |||
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| 4/6/2009 |
China's Yuan Ambitions: Currency swap agreements are part of a larger plan to extend the Chinese currency's role in global trade. China is playing a growing role in discussions over solutions to current economic problems. Much of the talk has focused on money -- whether Premier Wen Jiabao's concerns about the value of China's U.S. treasury investments, or the People's Bank of China's paper floating the idea of a de-dollarized international monetary system. Up to now, one limit to China's ability to contribute to global monetary reform has been its own currency policy, particularly the fact that the yuan is not convertible. However, now there are tentative signs that's starting to change. Beijing has signed currency swap agreements with six central banks: Hong Kong, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Belarus and most recently Argentina. These swaps permit those central banks to sell yuan to local importers in those countries who want to buy Chinese goods. This is particularly useful for importers struggling to obtain trade finance as a result of the financial crisis. As such, it's consistent with China's desire to participate in the Group of 20's efforts to support trade financing. China has long wanted its currency to play a more important role in the global financial system. These swap arrangements come in the context of that broader policy aim. The broader policy goal also has a more practical function in reducing currency exposure and transaction costs for Chinese exporters. The rise in the yuan's value relative to the dollar in early 2008 was a reason why some Chinese exporters went bankrupt. The ability to settle trade in yuan would reduce this risk in the future. (Wall Street Journal) | |||
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keywords: Argentina, Asia, Belarus, China, China's State Council, Dollar, Federal Reserve, Financial Crisis, G20, Guangdong, Guangxi, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Korea, Macau, Malaysia, People's Bank Of China, Royal Bank Of Scotland, US Department Of The Treasury, United States, Wen Jiabao, Yuan, Yunnan
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| 2/24/2009 |
The mendacity of hope The U.S. essentially has four options from best to worst going forward in Afghanistan (USA Today) | |||
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| 1/12/2009 |
The chance for a new world order As the new U.S. administration prepares to take office amid grave financial and international crises, it may seem counterintuitive to argue that the very unsettled nature of the international system generates a unique opportunity for creative diplomacy. In the end, the political and economic systems can be harmonized in only one of two ways: by creating an international political regulatory system with the same reach as that of the economic world; or by shrinking the economic units to a size manageable by existing political structures, which is likely to lead to a new mercantilism, perhaps of regional units. (New York Times) | |||
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| 1/1/2009 |
Obama's Advisors The transition to the new administration of Barack Obama has been accompanied by much optimism and hope for "change." The affiliations of some of his close associates, however, must be cause for concern. (Daniel Estulin: The True Story of The Bilderberg Group) | |||
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keywords: Arizona, Aspen Institute, Aspen Strategy Group, Bailouts, Barack Obama, Ben Bernanke, Benjamin Emanuel, Bilderberg Group, Bill Clinton, Bill Richardson, Bobby Ray Inman, Boeing, Brazil, Brent Scowcroft, Brookings Institution, Central Intelligence Agency, Chevron, Citigroup, Council On Foreign Relations, David Rockefeller, Donald Rumsfeld, Eric Holder, Eric Shinseki, Federal Reserve, Freddie Mac, George H W Bush, George Mitchell, George W Bush, Goldman Sachs, G30, Hamilton Project, Harvard University, Henry Kissinger, Henry Paulson, Hillary Clinton, Indonesia, Institute For International Affairs, International Monetary Fund, Iran-contra, Iraq, Irgun Zvai Leumi, Israel, Jack Reed, James L Jones, Janet Napolitano, Janet Reno, John Deutch, Kissinger Associates, Korea, Larry Summers, Madeleine Albright, Marc Rich, Mark Lippert, Menahem Begin, Mexico, Michael Froman, Middle East, Mona Sutphen, New York, North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Paul Volcker, Persian Gulf, Rahm Emanuel, Richard Armitage, Robert Gates, Robert Rubin, Ronald Reagan, Rothschild Wolfensohn Company, Stonebride International, Susan Rice, Terrorists, Thailand, Thomas Daschle, Timothy Geithner, Trilateral Commission, US Army, US Department Of Commerce, US Department Of Defense, US Department Of Health And Human Services, US Department Of Homeland Security, US Department Of The Treasury, US Department Of Veterans Affairs, US National Economic Council, US National Security Council, United Nations, United States, Wasserstein Perella, World Bank, Zbigniew Brzezinski
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| 5/13/2004 | The Emerging Asian Union? China Trade, Asian Investment, and a New Competitive Challenge (Progressive Policy Institute) | |||
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keywords: Asian-pacific Union, China, George W Bush, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, United States, World Trade Organization
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